Part of the Which two candidates from this field will advance from the California Governor top-two primary? topic →
This market asks whether Xavier Becerra will finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary. The election has been held and results are known: Xavier Becerra finished second with 25.4% of the vote (approximately 1,267,195 votes), securing the second spot and advancing to the November general election against Steve Hilton. Becerra ran a successful underdog campaign, consolidating Democratic support after other candidates dropped out. The official certified results are due by July 10, 2026.
Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra finished first and second respectively in California's June 2, 2026 gubernatorial primary, each receiving approximately 26% of the vote. Tom Steyer finished third at nearly 20%. The top-two primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to the November general election.
Public Policy Institute of California survey shows Becerra at 23%, Hilton at 20%, with Steyer at 15%, Bianco at 13%, and Porter at 12%.
Outside groups spent $79 million - more than double 2018 general election. $32 million spent opposing Tom Steyer; $13 million boosting Xavier Becerra.
California's Fair Political Practices Commission opened an investigation into Steyer's campaign over alleged failure to disclose payments to social media influencers
Echelon and GSG polls released May 22 show Hilton leading (22-25%), with Steyer and Becerra tied or within 3 points of each other at 15-19%. The race remains highly fluid with 7% undecided.
Will Tom Steyer finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Katie Porter finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Steve Hilton finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Xavier Becerra be elected Governor of California in 2026?
