Part of the Which two candidates from this field will advance from the California Governor top-two primary? topic →
This market asks whether Tom Steyer will finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary. The election has been held and results are known: Steyer finished third with 19.6% of the vote (approximately 979,066 votes), behind Steve Hilton (27.8%) and Xavier Becerra (25.4%). Despite spending a record $213 million of his own money, Steyer was unable to overcome Becerra's consolidation of Democratic voters. He did not advance to the November general election. The official certified results are due by July 10, 2026.
Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra finished first and second respectively in California's June 2, 2026 gubernatorial primary, each receiving approximately 26% of the vote. Tom Steyer finished third at nearly 20%. The top-two primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to the November general election.
Outside groups spent $79 million - more than double 2018 general election. $32 million spent opposing Tom Steyer; $13 million boosting Xavier Becerra.
California's Fair Political Practices Commission opened an investigation into Steyer's campaign over alleged failure to disclose payments to social media influencers
Echelon and GSG polls released May 22 show Hilton leading (22-25%), with Steyer and Becerra tied or within 3 points of each other at 15-19%. The race remains highly fluid with 7% undecided.
Only one-third of Democrats have returned ballots vs. half of Republicans, potentially slowing election night results
Will Xavier Becerra finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Steve Hilton finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Katie Porter finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Xavier Becerra be elected Governor of California in 2026?
