Part of the Which two candidates from this field will advance from the California Governor top-two primary? topic →
This market asks whether Katie Porter will finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary. The election has been held and results are known: Porter received approximately 4.6% of the vote (around 215,376 votes), finishing fifth behind Steve Hilton (27.8%), Xavier Becerra (25.4%), Tom Steyer (19.6%), and Chad Bianco (11.3%). Porter conceded on election night, acknowledging she would not advance to the general election. The official certified results are due by July 10, 2026, but the outcome is not in doubt.
Democratic candidate Katie Porter, the only major female candidate in the gubernatorial race and the only candidate who did not accept corporate donations, conceded Tuesday night after receiving approximately 5% of the vote.
Echelon and GSG polls released May 22 show Hilton leading (22-25%), with Steyer and Becerra tied or within 3 points of each other at 15-19%. The race remains highly fluid with 7% undecided.
Seven leading candidates participated in final debate before June 2 primary, with sharp exchanges on policy records and personal attacks
CA Gov Polls tracker (May 11) shows Hilton at 20.5%, Becerra at 18.9%, Steyer at 14.9%; 4.0 point gap between Becerra and Steyer for second top-two slot
Seven candidates traded sharp attacks on tax policy, gas prices, and Trump; Steyer alone supported billionaire tax measure
Will Tom Steyer finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Xavier Becerra finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Steve Hilton finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Xavier Becerra be elected Governor of California in 2026?
