Part of the Which two candidates from this field will advance from the California Governor top-two primary? topic →
This market asks whether Steve Hilton will finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary. The election has been held and results are known: Steve Hilton finished first with 27.8% of the vote (approximately 1,387,167 votes), securing the top spot and advancing to the November general election against Xavier Becerra. The Trump endorsement helped consolidate Republican support, and Hilton outperformed expectations to win the primary outright. The official certified results are due by July 10, 2026.
Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra finished first and second respectively in California's June 2, 2026 gubernatorial primary, each receiving approximately 26% of the vote. Tom Steyer finished third at nearly 20%. The top-two primary system advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to the November general election.
Public Policy Institute of California survey shows Becerra at 23%, Hilton at 20%, with Steyer at 15%, Bianco at 13%, and Porter at 12%.
Echelon and GSG polls released May 22 show Hilton leading (22-25%), with Steyer and Becerra tied or within 3 points of each other at 15-19%. The race remains highly fluid with 7% undecided.
Only one-third of Democrats have returned ballots vs. half of Republicans, potentially slowing election night results
The California Democratic Party's final pre-primary tracking poll shows Hilton 22%, Becerra 21%, Steyer 15%
Will Tom Steyer finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Xavier Becerra finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Katie Porter finish among the top two vote-getters in the June 2, 2026 California gubernatorial top-two primary?
Will Xavier Becerra be elected Governor of California in 2026?
