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Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0, 7.0, or 8.0+ by 2030?

3 outcomes·Resolves in 5y·$0 volume
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Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by 2030?

93%

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater by 2030?

60%

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater by 2030?

7%
  1. Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater by 2030?
    Seismologists confirm Brawley swarm is slowing and typical for the region22d ago

    Lucy Jones and other experts stated the swarm behavior is normal for the Brawley Seismic Zone and historically does not trigger larger San Andreas events

  2. Shared across 2 markets
    Brawley earthquake swarm rattles Southern California24d ago

    Over 350 earthquakes recorded since May 8, 2026 in Brawley, Imperial County. The Brawley fault zone connects directly to the San Andreas Fault, raising concerns about potential larger seismic events.

  3. Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater by 2030?
    Brawley earthquake swarm causes water line and road damage in Imperial County25d ago

    Over 350 earthquakes, including a M4.7, struck the Brawley area May 9-11, 2026, cracking water lines and roads but causing no injuries