Mycelium

Which party will control Congress after the 2026 midterm elections?

3 outcomes·Resolves in 4mo·$9.2K volume
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  1. Shared across 3 markets
    USPS ballot-mail rule became operationally eligible for the 2026 federal election6d ago

    The final rule imposes state-list, envelope-design, barcode, portal, and acceptance-verification requirements for outbound federal ballot mail. USPS says court relief removed prior injunction barriers, but implementation remains exposed to continuing litigation.

  2. Shared across 3 markets
    Fresh multistate litigation continued against USPS mail-ballot requirements7d ago

    After relief from earlier injunctions, states and voting-rights challengers continued arguing that the federal requirements unlawfully burden state election administration and could cause imminent implementation problems before ballots are mailed.

  3. Shared across 3 markets
    Senate control contests tightened as Texas and Iowa entered Toss Up status13d ago

    Cook moved Texas and Iowa Republican-held Senate races to Toss Up, while CNN identified nine states likely to determine control and emphasized Democrats’ need to win multiple Republican-held seats while protecting their own.

  4. Shared across 3 markets
    House battleground remains unusually favorable to Democratic pickups20d ago

    Cook lists 19 House Toss Ups, while OpenSecrets says fewer than two dozen races across 14 states are likely to determine control; the competitive exposure is weighted toward Republican-held seats.

  5. Shared across 3 markets
    Texas and Michigan illustrate uncertainty in post-primary Senate contests23d ago

    August reporting described Texas as nearly tied and Michigan as showing a Republican polling edge, underscoring uncertainty in the Senate path despite a favorable national environment for Democrats.