Will global warming have a measurable impact on San Diego by 2056?

This market asks whether global warming will have a measurable, negative impact on the San Diego region by 2056, based on scientific consensus from peer-reviewed studies and official government assessments. The research shows San Diego faces projected climate impacts including sea level rise of 1.2-2.8 feet by 2050, increases in extreme heat days from 2 to approximately 15 annually, and heightened wildfire risk. The City of San Diego already published a Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment in 2022, and California's climate adaptation strategy documents these projections. Since the resolution window spans 30 years (2026-2056) and the scientific consensus already attributes these impact categories to climate change, the probability that measurable impacts will be documented and attributed by 2056 is very high. No external prediction markets on this specific question were found to anchor to.