
This market asks whether any of five frontier AI labs (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, Meta AI, or xAI) will publicly state that more than 90% of their production code is written by AI agents by end of 2027. The research shows that Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei already confirmed in October 2025 that 90% of Anthropic's code is now written by AI — an official public statement that meets the exact >90% threshold specified in the rules. This occurred well before the 2027-12-31 deadline. OpenAI has stated ~80% ("almost all"), Google DeepMind ~30%, Meta predicts 50% by end of 2026 with internal targets up to 75%, and xAI has made no public percentage claim. Since the condition has already been satisfied by Anthropic's public statement, the market should resolve YES.
OpenAI President Greg Brockman stated at Sequoia AI Ascent 2026 that roughly 80% of OpenAI's code is now written by AI
Mark Zuckerberg announced at LlamaCon 2026 that AI will write half of Meta's code by end of 2026, with internal targets up to 75%
Dario Amodei at Dreamforce 2025 confirmed his earlier prediction that AI would write 90% of code within 6 months has come true at Anthropic
Sam Altman announced at DevDay 2025 that almost all new code at OpenAI is written by Codex users, with 80% of some projects' PRs written by AI
Sundar Pichai disclosed on Q3 2024 earnings call that more than 25% of Google's code was AI-generated, crossing 30% by Q1 2025

Will AGI be confirmed by the end of 2027?

Will AGI be confirmed by the end of 2028?

Will AGI be confirmed by the end of 2030?

Will AGI be confirmed by the end of 2033?

Will AGI be confirmed by the end of 2030 and U.S. labor-force participation fall below 60% before the end of 2031?

Will AGI be confirmed by the end of 2030 and U.S. real GDP growth exceed 4% in 2031?