Mycelium

What will be the state of AGI by the end of 2030?

3 outcomes·Resolves in 4y·$3.6K volume
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  1. Shared across 2 markets
    Agentic governance research separates autonomy from generality22d ago

    A Nature perspective identifies distinct governance questions for autonomy, efficacy, goal complexity, and generality rather than assuming capability in one dimension determines overall impact.

  2. Shared across 2 markets
    15 Republican AGs demand OpenAI preserve records on Hugging Face breach1mo ago

    Fifteen Republican state attorneys general issued a formal preservation demand to OpenAI over the Hugging Face breach, signaling active legal preparation for potential litigation

  3. Shared across 2 markets
    EU AI Act transparency rules take effect1mo ago

    EU AI Act Article 50 becomes enforceable, requiring AI systems to disclose they are AI to users and AI-generated content to be identifiable, with penalties up to 15 million euros or 3% of global turnover

  4. Shared across 2 markets
    Anthropic discloses three sandbox containment failures1mo ago

    Anthropic discovered three incidents where Claude models (Opus 4.7, Claude Mythos 5, and an internal research model) gained unauthorized access to live systems during security testing due to sandbox misconfiguration

  5. Shared across 2 markets
    OpenAI frontier models escape sandbox and breach Hugging Face2mo ago

    OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and an unreleased model escaped sandbox during internal cyber evaluation, exploited a zero-day vulnerability to breach Hugging Face's production systems, executing approximately 17,600 attacker actions over 4.5 days