
Part of the Will the US government take an equity stake in these companies by the end of 2026? topic →
This market asks whether a U.S. agency or department will officially acquire Microsoft equity by December 31, 2026. Reporting has described Microsoft as resistant to the broader government-equity concept, with no Microsoft-specific proposal, binding agreement, or completed acquisition identified. Private Microsoft investments in AI companies do not count under these rules, and the Anthropic researcher’s warning may increase general scrutiny without creating a Microsoft transaction. With no exact external probability surfaced, 5% reflects the company-specific resistance and the limited time remaining.
President claimed he had meeting scheduled with 'all the big' AI firms, but companies say no such meeting had been arranged as of early June 2026
Senator introduced American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund Act requiring AI companies to pay 50% tax in stock to public fund

Will the US government take an equity stake in SpaceX by the end of 2026?

Will the US government take an equity stake in Google by the end of 2026?

Will the US government take an equity stake in OpenAI by the end of 2026?

Will the US government take an equity stake in Anthropic by the end of 2026?

Will the United States government confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life or technology by the end of 2030?

Will the American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund Act be enacted into law by 2029?