Part of the Will these world leaders cease to hold their current office in 2026? topic →
This market asks whether Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will leave office before December 31, 2026. Sánchez faces multiple corruption investigations involving his wife, his Socialist party (PSOE), and allegations he knew of a dirty-tricks network. The Spanish parliament passed a non-binding resolution urging his resignation, which he has refused. External prediction markets price this outcome at approximately 30%. The quote of 30 aligns with the external market consensus.
Former Socialist minister convicted as pressure mounts on PM; judge considering criminal organization charges against party
Judge orders Begoña Gómez to surrender passport as corruption net closes around Sánchez government
Spanish police files indicate PM was aware of illegal party financing and influence peddling operations
Madrid judge weighs criminal organization charges as corruption probe widens into alleged Socialist dirty-tricks unit
