Part of the Will these world leaders cease to hold their current office in 2026? topic →
This market asks whether Pedro Sánchez ceases to hold his office as Spain's Prime Minister during 2026. Sánchez faces multiple corruption scandals — police raided Socialist headquarters in May, his brother is on trial for influence peddling, and former PM Zapatero is named in a money laundering probe. Tens of thousands protested in Madrid in late May demanding his resignation. However, his coalition government still holds, elections are not required until August 2027, and Sánchez has shown no indication of stepping down. External sentiment now prices this at 28.5% YES, slightly below the current quote.
Police raided Socialist headquarters as part of investigation into alleged dirty tricks campaign; multiple corruption scandals involving Zapater, party officials, and Sánchez's family members
Tens of thousands protest as corruption scandals pile up against Spanish prime minister
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