Part of the Will these world leaders cease to hold their current office in 2026? topic →
This market asks whether Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to hold his office as President of Cuba during 2026. Cuba is experiencing its worst crisis in decades with nationwide blackouts and severe fuel shortages. Trump has threatened military action, stating 'Cuba is next,' intensifying US pressure on the island. However, Díaz-Canel has explicitly refused to step down, stating he's 'not stepping down' in recent interviews. The Cuban regime structure provides resilience despite economic collapse. External sentiment has shifted significantly to 53% YES, down from prior readings, reflecting both the regime's durability and the ongoing crisis.
Trump administration signaling replacement may be needed as part of negotiations; Díaz-Canel says 'stepping down is not part of our vocabulary'; Cuba facing severe economic crisis and blackouts
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