This market asks whether USDC traded below $1.1459 at any time before the September 5, 2026 20:10 UTC cutoff. Independent historical datasets show that it did: one reports a September 5 low of $0.9996 and another reports a UTC composite low of $0.9990, both far below the threshold. USDC remained an active, redeemable stablecoin rather than undergoing a collapse or discontinuation, so the ordinary price rule applies. External sentiment did not provide a directly matching market, but the corroborated historical lows make YES overwhelmingly likely.
Circle reported roughly $74.3 billion in circulation as of September 3, while a separate September 5 report put circulation near $74.6 billion and reserves near $74.5 billion after substantial seven-day issuance and redemption flows.
Historical data placed USDC near $0.9996–$0.9998 on September 3–4, while Kraken displayed about $1.00. These prices are well below the threshold and support YES under the market’s at-any-point condition.
Two reports describe a Sept. 1–2, 2026 Circle–OKX collaboration covering spot, margin, and futures markets, with the stated aim of increasing USDC liquidity and trading activity. This is an adoption and liquidity development, not evidence of a USDC collapse.
