This market asks whether Bitcoin will ever reach $100,000 or higher, with resolution set for January 1, 2035. Bitcoin has already crossed this threshold once before — it broke $100,000 on December 5, 2024 and went on to reach a new all-time high of $126,198 in October 2025 before correcting to the current ~$63,800 range. External prediction markets price roughly a 16.5% chance of Bitcoin reclaiming $100,000 by the end of 2026, with declining probabilities for higher targets like $120,000 (9.5%) and $150,000 (3.8%). Given that Bitcoin has demonstrated the ability to reach six figures, the long time horizon until 2035 provides ample opportunity for another run to new highs, supported by structural factors including the fixed 21 million supply cap, continued institutional ETF adoption, and corporate treasury accumulation. The quote reflects a high confidence that Bitcoin will eventually revisit six-figure territory, balanced against the inherent volatility and uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrency markets.
Following the October 2025 ATH of $126,198, Bitcoin declined to around $84,648 by November 22, 2025, representing a nearly 50% correction, before partially recovering to the $63,000-$65,000 range.
Bitcoin hit $126,198 on October 6, 2025, its highest price ever, fueled by continued ETF inflows and speculation about a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, before declining over the following months.
Bitcoin broke through $100,000 on December 5, 2024, driven by Trump election victory, spot ETF success, and expectations of crypto-friendly regulations under the incoming administration.
