Will any member of the Trump family go to prison by the end of 2029?

This market asks whether any Trump family member—Donald Trump, his spouse, or his children—will be incarcerated in a correctional facility by December 31, 2029. Currently, no family member has served prison time. Donald Trump was convicted of 34 felony counts in the New York hush money case but received an unconditional discharge in January 2025, meaning no jail, fine, or probation. That conviction remains under appeal in both state and federal courts, with presidential immunity arguments being raised. No criminal charges have been filed against Donald Jr., Eric, Ivanka, Melania, Tiffany, or Barron. The New York civil fraud case's $527 million penalty was thrown out in August 2025, though liability findings were largely upheld. The quote reflects the non-zero legal exposure remaining—particularly after the presidential term ends in January 2029—balanced against historical judicial reluctance to imprison former presidents and the lack of any criminal indictments against the children.