This market asks whether the WHO will formally declare the 2026 Ebola outbreak a pandemic by year-end 2026. The WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) in May 2026 but has consistently stated the outbreak does NOT meet pandemic criteria under International Health Regulations. Case counts have risen to over 1,800 in the DRC spreading to a fourth province, but the WHO's position on pandemic status has not changed. The quote remains low because the explicit criteria require a formal pandemic declaration from the WHO Director-General, which has not occurred and the WHO has publicly indicated the outbreak does not qualify.
Haut-Uele province becomes fourth province affected; WHO warns actual case count may be 4x higher than official data
Uganda health authorities say outbreak is contained; requests lifting of travel restrictions imposed during the response
