
This market asks whether, by May 15, 2027, either a federal prohibition will be in force or every state that still permits live greyhound racing or simulcast wagering will have enacted a ban. The House passed a farm-bill version containing a ban, but Senate action remains uncertain, and the separately introduced Greyhound Protection Act’s stated October 1, 2027 applicability date is too late for this deadline. West Virginia still has live racing, while scheduled wagering phase-outs in New Hampshire and Oregon do not by themselves clear all remaining states by May 15. With no exact-match external market projection available and the federal route unresolved, the probability of meeting this specific early deadline remains low.
Agri-Pulse reported that House and Senate agriculture leaders agreed to re-engage in staff discussions after the midterms, while disputes over nutrition spending continued to cloud prospects for a deal; the House Agriculture chair separately forecast year-end enactment.
Glenn Thompson said he expected a bill to reach the President by year-end, while the Senate and House still need to resolve differences; the greyhound ban is in the House version but absent from the committee-advanced Senate bill.
Farm bill was absent from the pre-recess floor calendar; leaders planned fall negotiations, with SNAP cost-sharing the central obstacle and a possible vote after Nov. 9. The House-passed greyhound provision remains unadopted.
On Sept. 16, the committee passed its farm-bill draft 12–11 after the Aug. 6 vote failed; the bill now moves toward the full Senate. Available coverage does not show that the greyhound ban was restored.
The Senate Agriculture Committee's farm bill markup failed 10-11 due to partisan disputes over SNAP provisions, leaving the legislation in limbo and preventing any greyhound ban from advancing through the Senate.